Port Layola vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Layola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
POL
0 - 1
PLA
44%
22%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 1
ALT
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
PLA
4 - 4
HAN
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
WAG
1 - 4
PLA
17%
19%
65%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 2
PLA
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
7 - 0
WAG
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
PRO
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BDC
2 - 2
PRO
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
HAN
43%
23%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
ALT
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |