Port Layola vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
3º
3º
23
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Layola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SPP
0 - 1
PLA
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
ALT
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BDC
1 - 1
PLA
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
PLA
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 0
BEL
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 2
HAN
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
WAG
72%
16%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
PRO
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BDC
0 - 2
PRO
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALT
46%
22%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |