Pordenone vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pordenone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
POR
3 - 3
PIA
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GER
1 - 2
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACE
1 - 2
POR
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
POR
5 - 0
SAN
83%
12%
4%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
POR
15%
21%
64%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 1
ANC
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
COR
1 - 2
ASL
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 0
FOR
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
MAS
0 - 0
ASL
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |