Poortugaal vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
10º
8º
30
1º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poortugaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RKA
2 - 2
POO
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
POO
1 - 1
SMI
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VOC
1 - 6
POO
20%
22%
59%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
POO
4 - 1
HEE
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 2
POO
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NIE
2 - 4
SCF
41%
24%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ASW
2 - 1
NIE
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NIE
1 - 5
ZWA
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RVV
1 - 1
NIE
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NIE
0 - 3
LRC
57%
22%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |