Poortugaal vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
7º
14º
7º
51
1º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
29.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poortugaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZWA
1 - 1
POO
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
POO
0 - 1
GOE
30%
21%
49%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 0
POO
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
POO
2 - 2
JOD
43%
23%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SMI
3 - 2
POO
40%
22%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NIE
2 - 0
DED
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ODI
2 - 4
NIE
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NIE
0 - 1
WNC
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NIE
0 - 1
ZWA
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GOE
4 - 0
NIE
56%
21%
24%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |