Poortugaal vs Achilles Veen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
7º
14º
7º
36
4º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
29.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poortugaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
JOD
0 - 3
POO
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POO
1 - 4
SMI
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 2
POO
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
POO
3 - 1
FCS
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
POO
1 - 1
SCF
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Achilles Veen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ZWA
0 - 0
ACH
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 2
DED
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ODI
4 - 1
ACH
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 2
NIE
45%
22%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GOE
4 - 0
ACH
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |