Non League Premier Southern South. Jor. 39

Poole Town vs Basingstoke Town analysis

Poole Town Basingstoke Town
36 ELO 31
-0.6% Tilt -8.5%
5301º General ELO ranking 6659º
230º Country ELO ranking 317º
ELO win probability
55.9%
Poole Town
21.1%
Draw
23%
Basingstoke Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
Poole Town
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23%
Win probability
Basingstoke Town
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Poole Town
-40%
+18%
Basingstoke Town

ELO progression

Poole Town
Basingstoke Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Poole Town
Poole Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2019
FAR
Farnborough
1 - 2
Poole Town
POO
61%
20%
20%
34 36 2 0
30 Mar. 2019
POO
Poole Town
0 - 2
Hendon
HEN
61%
20%
20%
36 30 6 -2
23 Mar. 2019
TAU
Taunton Town
1 - 0
Poole Town
POO
58%
22%
21%
36 38 2 0
16 Mar. 2019
POO
Poole Town
3 - 1
Merthyr Town
MER
61%
20%
19%
36 30 6 0
09 Mar. 2019
CHE
Chesham United
5 - 1
Poole Town
POO
46%
24%
30%
37 36 1 -1

Matches

Basingstoke Town
Basingstoke Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2019
BAS
Basingstoke Town
3 - 3
Tiverton Town
TIV
52%
21%
26%
32 31 1 0
30 Mar. 2019
WIM
Wimborne Town
2 - 4
Basingstoke Town
BAS
58%
20%
22%
30 33 3 +2
23 Mar. 2019
BAS
Basingstoke Town
2 - 2
Metropolitan Police
MET
23%
21%
56%
30 42 12 0
16 Mar. 2019
DOR
Dorchester Town
4 - 1
Basingstoke Town
BAS
46%
23%
31%
31 32 1 -1
09 Mar. 2019
BAS
Basingstoke Town
2 - 0
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
36%
23%
41%
29 35 6 +2
X