Pontivy vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
PSG
1 - 2
PON
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
PON
1 - 0
LAV
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
PON
1 - 0
FCR
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 0
PON
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
PON
4 - 2
STG
30%
26%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
LEP
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
FEI
1 - 2
MON
49%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ARL
1 - 0
MON
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
AGD
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CAB
1 - 1
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |