National 3 Round 30

Pontivy vs Change analysis

Pontivy Change
43 ELO 30
0.5% Tilt -6%
6624º General ELO ranking 32428º
192º Country ELO ranking 651º
ELO win probability
70.4%
Pontivy
18.4%
Draw
11.2%
Change

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
Pontivy
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.2%
Win probability
Change
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pontivy
-21%
+8%
Change

ELO progression

Pontivy
Change
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pontivy
Pontivy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2011
VIT
Vitré
0 - 1
Pontivy
PON
31%
26%
43%
41 34 7 0
21 May. 2011
PON
Pontivy
1 - 1
Quimper Cornouaille
QUC
79%
15%
7%
42 24 18 -1
14 May. 2011
MON
Mondeville
0 - 1
Pontivy
PON
34%
26%
40%
41 35 6 +1
07 May. 2011
PON
Pontivy
4 - 0
Montagnarde
MON
61%
22%
17%
40 35 5 +1
30 Apr. 2011
PON
Pontivy
1 - 1
Dinan-Léhon
DIN
64%
20%
16%
40 32 8 0

Matches

Change
Change
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2011
CHA
Change
1 - 2
Dinan-Léhon
DIN
38%
24%
38%
32 36 4 0
21 May. 2011
BRE
Stade Brestois II
1 - 0
Change
CHA
57%
23%
20%
33 37 4 -1
14 May. 2011
CHA
Change
2 - 1
Granville
GRA
36%
25%
40%
31 37 6 +2
07 May. 2011
ROU
FC Rouen 1899 II
1 - 1
Change
CHA
62%
21%
18%
31 37 6 0
30 Apr. 2011
CHA
Change
2 - 2
Concarneau
CON
33%
28%
38%
31 39 8 0