Pontisola vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontisola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SCA
0 - 1
PON
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
FAN
3 - 1
PON
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PON
2 - 1
OLG
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PON
2 - 2
LEV
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
PRO
0 - 1
PON
48%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEC
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 2
PER
28%
27%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 3
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |