Pontellas vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontellas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
PON
5 - 1
GRA
57%
23%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ATO
0 - 0
PON
46%
26%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
UDA
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PON
1 - 2
CEL
52%
24%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 1
PON
44%
27%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 1
CHO
41%
26%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
NIG
36%
26%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LAL
3 - 1
CHO
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARE
74%
18%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
CHO
43%
26%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |