Pontefract Collieries vs Alsager Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PON
2 - 3
TAD
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
PON
2 - 1
BOO
12%
19%
70%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | +6 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PON
3 - 2
RUN
42%
23%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RUN
6 - 0
PON
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
PON
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alsager Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
ALS
1 - 1
CRE
8%
15%
77%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ALS
1 - 6
WIN
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ALS
4 - 1
BAR
55%
21%
25%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ALS
1 - 4
NAN
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALS
1 - 2
BUR
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |