Pontedera vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 1
PON
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PON
0 - 0
REG
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ASL
1 - 0
PON
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PON
0 - 0
LAQ
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ANC
0 - 0
PON
55%
23%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SAV
0 - 1
ASC
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ASG
3 - 2
SAV
51%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
3 - 1
SAV
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
SAV
0 - 2
PIS
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 2
SAV
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |