Pontedera vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 1
PON
26%
26%
47%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
GRO
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TUT
2 - 1
PON
18%
26%
56%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 0
PON
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
PON
4 - 3
ACP
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
SPA
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
ASC
4 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
ASG
19%
25%
56%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ACP
3 - 1
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASL
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |