Ponte Preta vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
GRE
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 3
PPE
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 2
PPE
74%
16%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 0
PPE
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 3
VIT
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 3
PPE
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 0
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |