Ponte Preta vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
OES
0 - 0
PPE
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
PPE
3 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 1
PPE
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
PPE
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
PPE
1 - 0
BAH
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 0
NOR
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
PAU
0 - 0
DUQ
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
SER
1 - 2
PAU
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
AMF
1 - 0
PAU
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
PAU
0 - 0
AMF
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -2 |