Copa do Brasil 1/64

First-leg 4-1

Ponte Preta vs Náutico RR analysis

Ponte Preta Náutico RR
73 ELO 28
-6.5% Tilt -4.5%
595º General ELO ranking 13021º
36º Country ELO ranking 489º
ELO win probability
84.9%
Ponte Preta
11.3%
Draw
3.8%
Náutico RR

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
Ponte Preta
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
3.8%
Win probability
Náutico RR
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO progression

Ponte Preta
Náutico RR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2014
SAN
Santos FC
4 - 0
Ponte Preta
PPE
68%
20%
12%
73 85 12 0
23 Mar. 2014
PPE
Ponte Preta
0 - 4
Mogi Mirim
MOG
66%
21%
13%
74 61 13 -1
15 Mar. 2014
PAL
Palmeiras
3 - 2
Ponte Preta
PPE
58%
24%
19%
75 81 6 -1
13 Mar. 2014
NAU
Náutico RR
1 - 4
Ponte Preta
PPE
9%
17%
74%
75 28 47 0
08 Mar. 2014
PPE
Ponte Preta
2 - 1
Rio Claro
RIO
66%
21%
13%
75 61 14 0

Matches

Náutico RR
Náutico RR
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2014
ARO
Atlético Roraima
3 - 3
Náutico RR
NAU
27%
22%
51%
28 19 9 0
20 Mar. 2014
NAU
Náutico RR
1 - 1
São Raimundo RR
SAO
42%
23%
35%
28 33 5 0
13 Mar. 2014
NAU
Náutico RR
1 - 4
Ponte Preta
PPE
9%
17%
74%
28 75 47 0
19 Feb. 2014
PAY
Paysandu
4 - 0
Náutico RR
NAU
79%
14%
7%
29 56 27 -1
12 Feb. 2014
NAU
Náutico RR
2 - 7
Paysandu
PAY
15%
20%
64%
30 56 26 -1