Ponte Preta vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
COR
2 - 2
PPE
71%
18%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 5
GRÊ
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
PPE
6 - 1
VIL
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 1
ITU
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 1
PPE
23%
24%
54%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
5 - 0
ITU
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAL
11%
18%
71%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
5 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 4
GRÊ
35%
25%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |