Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
PPE
0 - 3
PAL
12%
23%
65%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
PPE
3 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
PPE
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
PPE
1 - 2
MIR
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
PPE
0 - 1
INT
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
BRA
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 2
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAO
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 1
BOT
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |