1ª AF Lisboa Round 16

Ponte Frielas vs Negrais SRD analysis

Ponte Frielas Negrais SRD
12 ELO 18
0.6% Tilt -2.2%
27215º General ELO ranking 27212º
842º Country ELO ranking 839º
ELO win probability
22.6%
Ponte Frielas
21.9%
Draw
55.5%
Negrais SRD

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
Ponte Frielas
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.5%
Win probability
Negrais SRD
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ponte Frielas
+66%
-44%
Negrais SRD

ELO progression

Ponte Frielas
Negrais SRD
Cerca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ponte Frielas
Ponte Frielas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2015
SAB
Sabuguense
3 - 3
Ponte Frielas
PFR
41%
23%
36%
12 10 2 0
18 Jan. 2015
PFR
Ponte Frielas
0 - 4
Jeromelo
JER
10%
16%
73%
13 34 21 -1
11 Jan. 2015
REC
Recreio UD
2 - 0
Ponte Frielas
PFR
80%
13%
7%
13 23 10 0
21 Dec. 2014
PFR
Ponte Frielas
0 - 1
Arneiros
ARN
32%
23%
44%
14 17 3 -1
14 Dec. 2014
CER
Cerca
0 - 2
Ponte Frielas
PFR
71%
17%
12%
12 16 4 +2

Matches

Negrais SRD
Negrais SRD
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2015
NEG
Negrais SRD
0 - 3
Monte Agraço
MAG
74%
16%
11%
19 13 6 0
21 Dec. 2014
FRI
Frielas
3 - 2
Negrais SRD
NEG
45%
23%
32%
20 19 1 -1
14 Dec. 2014
JCA
Juventude Castanheira
1 - 0
Negrais SRD
NEG
49%
22%
29%
20 20 0 0
07 Dec. 2014
NEG
Negrais SRD
2 - 1
Vialonga
VIA
21%
21%
58%
19 28 9 +1
23 Nov. 2014
ARN
Arneiros
1 - 2
Negrais SRD
NEG
44%
23%
33%
19 18 1 0