Ponte da Barca vs Melgacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte da Barca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
AAR
2 - 1
PON
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PON
0 - 3
NEV
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 3
PON
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PON
1 - 0
CCO
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
PON
30%
24%
47%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Melgacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
5 - 1
PER
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
MEL
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 2
CAS
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MON
1 - 2
MEL
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 3
COU
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |