Pontarlier vs Saint-Apollinaire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
7º
2º
27
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontarlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 3
PON
8%
15%
78%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SEL
3 - 1
PON
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
SOC
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCG
0 - 0
PON
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PON
0 - 4
MAC
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Saint-Apollinaire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
APO
3 - 3
SOC
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCG
5 - 1
APO
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
APO
1 - 2
BFC
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
JUR
3 - 2
APO
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
APO
0 - 0
DIJ
19%
21%
61%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |