Ponta Porã vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
68.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponta Porã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
SCI
5 - 0
PON
84%
13%
3%
|
7 | 74 | 67 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
PON
0 - 2
SCI
11%
21%
68%
|
7 | 74 | 67 | 0 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAV
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 2
SAN
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
COM
1 - 0
NAV
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 2
COM
45%
24%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 0
NAV
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |