Ponferradina vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
ROB
1 - 2
PON
35%
27%
39%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
PON
2 - 0
ENS
66%
19%
14%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
CUL
5 - 1
PON
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
PON
7 - 0
BAR
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
PON
5 - 0
TOL
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
LUG
4 - 0
TOL
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
GIM
1 - 0
LUG
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
LUG
0 - 0
BAR
39%
29%
32%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
CAN
1 - 0
LUG
46%
27%
27%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
LUG
2 - 0
LEM
84%
12%
5%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |