Ponferradina vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
PON
21%
29%
50%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
OSA
0 - 1
PON
20%
29%
52%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PON
0 - 0
CFP
65%
22%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 1
PON
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PON
2 - 1
SES
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 0
CFP
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
ATH
1 - 0
CEL
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MIR
0 - 2
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 1
SES
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 0
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |