Ponferradina vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
PON
4 - 2
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FUE
2 - 3
PON
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
LUG
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
PON
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PON
1 - 2
UDL
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 2
ALM
17%
26%
57%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ZAR
0 - 0
BUR
55%
28%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
2 - 1
IBI
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MIR
3 - 1
BUR
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 0
SPO
29%
30%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |