Ponferradina vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
31%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
MAJ
0 - 1
PON
27%
28%
45%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PON
1 - 2
CFP
68%
21%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 0
PON
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
PON
0 - 1
ALC
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 0
PON
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
2 - 1
SSR
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAJ
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 0
ALC
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CFP
1 - 1
BUR
32%
31%
38%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 0
RMC
35%
28%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |