Pomigliano vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pomigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
BRI
5 - 1
POM
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
POM
1 - 0
FRA
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
BAC
1 - 0
POM
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
POM
1 - 0
MAT
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +3 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ISC
2 - 0
POM
51%
23%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 2
ASF
36%
25%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ACC
1 - 0
GEL
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
GEL
2 - 1
USB
35%
25%
41%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
FRA
3 - 1
GEL
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GEL
4 - 4
GRO
73%
17%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |