CD Lugo B vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SOM
1 - 3
POL
38%
25%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
POL
2 - 2
CHO
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
POL
0 - 0
ALO
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
POL
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
POL
2 - 0
PON
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 0
VIV
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NOI
1 - 1
ARZ
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 1
RCV
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BOU
2 - 0
ARZ
61%
21%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ARZ
0 - 1
EST
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |