Poltava vs Illichivets II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 2
POL
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
POL
3 - 0
SHA
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
HSP
1 - 2
POL
23%
28%
49%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 1
POL
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
POL
2 - 2
SHD
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Illichivets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ILL
2 - 1
OLI
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
OKM
3 - 4
ILL
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BAR
4 - 1
ILL
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ILL
0 - 1
SHA
30%
28%
42%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
HSP
3 - 0
ILL
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |