Poland U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
POL
2 - 2
AUT
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
POL
1 - 3
DEU
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
AZE
1 - 1
POL
11%
18%
71%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
POL
3 - 0
AZE
85%
11%
5%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
DEU
1 - 1
POL
61%
21%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
WLS
0 - 4
ENG
14%
20%
65%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
WLS
3 - 1
MLT
70%
18%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
AUT
2 - 0
WLS
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
WLS
1 - 0
AUT
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
WLS
0 - 4
DEU
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |