European U21 Championship qualifying Round 1

Polonia U21 vs Estonia U21 analysis

Polonia U21 Estonia U21
68 ELO 37
-0.8% Tilt 6.4%
2163º General ELO ranking 7895º
54º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
83.3%
Polonia U21
12.7%
Draw
4%
Estonia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
Polonia U21
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.7%
4%
Win probability
Estonia U21
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Polonia U21
-11%
+23%
Estonia U21

ELO progression

Polonia U21
Estonia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Polonia U21
Polonia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2019
LVA
Letonia U21
0 - 1
Polonia U21
POL
7%
14%
79%
68 45 23 0
22 Jun. 2019
ESP
España U21
5 - 0
Polonia U21
POL
73%
17%
11%
68 85 17 0
19 Jun. 2019
ITA
Italia U21
0 - 1
Polonia U21
POL
55%
23%
22%
67 79 12 +1
16 Jun. 2019
POL
Polonia U21
3 - 2
Bélgica U21
BEL
36%
25%
40%
67 70 3 0
26 Mar. 2019
POL
Polonia U21
0 - 2
Serbia U21
SRB
41%
26%
33%
68 71 3 -1

Matches

Estonia U21
Estonia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2019
EST
Estonia U21
0 - 4
Bulgaria U21
BGR
18%
23%
59%
38 56 18 0
26 Mar. 2019
EST
Estonia U21
1 - 1
Macedonia del Norte U21
MKD
17%
22%
62%
37 55 18 +1
24 Mar. 2019
KAZ
Kazajistán U21
1 - 2
Estonia U21
EST
55%
23%
23%
36 46 10 +1
21 Mar. 2019
EST
Estonia U21
0 - 0
Ucrania U21
UKR
7%
16%
77%
36 68 32 0
16 Oct. 2018
EST
Estonia U21
2 - 2
Albania U21
ALB
18%
21%
62%
35 50 15 +1