Poland U21 vs Spain U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
FIN
2 - 0
POL
32%
26%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
LUX
1 - 0
POL
14%
19%
68%
|
59 | 22 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
ALB
2 - 2
POL
23%
24%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
NLD
3 - 2
POL
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
ROU
2 - 1
POL
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 1
NLD
58%
23%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
FIN
1 - 1
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 1
LIE
87%
11%
2%
|
81 | 5 | 76 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
NLD
2 - 1
ESP
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
FIN
76%
17%
7%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |