Poland U17s vs Sweden U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
POL
3 - 0
MDA
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LVA
0 - 3
POL
15%
19%
66%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
POL
3 - 5
DEU
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
POL
3 - 2
SRB
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
WLS
3 - 0
POL
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Sweden U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 0
LVA
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SWE
3 - 2
MDA
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
HRV
2 - 2
SWE
67%
19%
13%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SWE
3 - 3
WLS
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 3
ALB
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |