Poli. Alghero vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli. Alghero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
POL
1 - 0
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
USI
1 - 3
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 2
POL
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
POL
1 - 1
ACR
25%
26%
50%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 1
VAR
39%
29%
32%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
COM
3 - 2
FCS
59%
24%
17%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCS
2 - 1
FCC
53%
25%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ACM
0 - 1
FCS
49%
26%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FCS
0 - 1
ACM
46%
27%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |