Polinya At. vs Sta. Maria Montcada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polinya At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SEN
0 - 6
POL
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
LOU
36%
22%
43%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 4
POL
30%
22%
49%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 1
POL
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
POL
9 - 1
LCE
64%
18%
18%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sta. Maria Montcada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SMM
5 - 0
SEN
74%
14%
12%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
4 - 4
SMM
67%
17%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 8
SMM
39%
22%
39%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SMM
4 - 1
LLA
28%
22%
51%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
LCE
1 - 3
SMM
52%
21%
27%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |