Macau League Round 11

Policia SP vs Sporting Macau analysis

Policia SP Sporting Macau
28 ELO 34
-9.8% Tilt -2.8%
27959º General ELO ranking 17011º
18º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
36.8%
Policia SP
22.8%
Draw
40.4%
Sporting Macau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
Policia SP
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.4%
Win probability
Sporting Macau
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Policia SP
Sporting Macau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Policia SP
Policia SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2016
BEN
CSL Benfica
1 - 0
Policia SP
PSP
65%
18%
17%
30 32 2 0
20 Mar. 2016
CPK
Chao Pak Kei
3 - 1
Policia SP
PSP
57%
20%
23%
30 31 1 0
13 Mar. 2016
WAK
Windsor Arch Ka I
4 - 0
Policia SP
PSP
92%
6%
2%
20 48 28 +10
05 Mar. 2016
CPO
Casa de Portugal
3 - 1
Policia SP
PSP
48%
21%
32%
31 27 4 -11
27 Feb. 2016
PSP
Policia SP
2 - 4
Lai Chi
LAI
45%
23%
32%
32 31 1 -1

Matches

Sporting Macau
Sporting Macau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2016
SMA
Sporting Macau
4 - 2
Lai Chi
LAI
50%
22%
28%
32 32 0 0
19 Mar. 2016
BEN
CSL Benfica
2 - 1
Sporting Macau
SMA
68%
18%
14%
48 56 8 -16
12 Mar. 2016
SMA
Sporting Macau
6 - 0
AD Cheoc Lün
CLU
85%
11%
5%
48 20 28 0
06 Mar. 2016
CPK
Chao Pak Kei
0 - 1
Sporting Macau
SMA
52%
21%
28%
32 32 0 +16
28 Feb. 2016
SMA
Sporting Macau
7 - 0
Kei Lun
KLM
58%
20%
22%
32 26 6 0