Policia SP vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-426%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
VCM
1 - 0
PSP
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PSP
2 - 0
MUM
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +3 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
VLM
2 - 0
PSP
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
PSP
1 - 0
HTM
41%
25%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
HFM
1 - 0
PSP
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MUM
0 - 3
MCA
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MCA
7 - 2
HTM
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MCA
5 - 1
GLP
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
VCM
4 - 3
MCA
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
MCA
6 - 0
VLM
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |