Police XI vs Security Systems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
POL
1 - 1
PRI
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
BLF
0 - 2
POL
22%
27%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ORA
1 - 0
POL
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
POL
2 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
GAL
2 - 2
POL
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Security Systems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GAB
1 - 1
SES
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
SES
1 - 0
ORA
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PRI
1 - 2
SES
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 1
SES
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SES
3 - 3
BRH
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |