Police XI vs FC Gilport Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
EXT
4 - 1
POL
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
MAS
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
MOW
1 - 0
POL
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
SUA
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
POL
1 - 1
BRH
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
TOW
4 - 0
BOT
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
SUA
2 - 0
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
GAB
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
MOG
50%
21%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
EXT
0 - 2
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |