Police United vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 0
POL
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
HAN
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
POL
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
POL
2 - 2
PLA
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
WAG
0 - 2
POL
19%
19%
62%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
HAN
37%
23%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
PLA
2 - 0
PRO
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 0
WAG
71%
17%
13%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 2
PRO
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 0
BEL
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |