Clausura Finals . Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Police United vs Belmopan Bandits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
HAN
7 - 1
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
POL
1 - 0
BEL
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -8 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
WAG
2 - 0
POL
12%
17%
71%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 1
POL
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +11 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
POL
0 - 2
BEL
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Belmopan Bandits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 2
BEL
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
HAN
1 - 1
BEL
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -21 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
BEL
4 - 2
FRE
45%
23%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +21 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 2
WAG
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
POL
0 - 2
BEL
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |