Polan vs Oropesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MEN
6 - 1
POL
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
POL
4 - 1
TAL
12%
18%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MOR
3 - 0
POL
52%
23%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
POL
3 - 4
VAL
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
RCC
1 - 1
POL
42%
23%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oropesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ORO
1 - 2
PUE
79%
13%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MEN
5 - 2
ORO
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ORO
2 - 2
TAL
43%
23%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 1
ORO
20%
21%
59%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
COL
1 - 3
ORO
22%
21%
56%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |