Poiares vs Moinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poiares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 0
POI
18%
20%
62%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VRA
3 - 1
POI
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
POI
2 - 1
LOU
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SEP
1 - 1
POI
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
POI
2 - 0
GAN
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Moinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MOI
2 - 1
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MOI
1 - 0
SSI
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MOC
3 - 4
MOI
23%
22%
56%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 2
MOI
26%
22%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MOI
0 - 1
VRA
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |