Pogradeci vs Oriku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
KEL
0 - 2
POG
5%
15%
80%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAL
0 - 2
POG
9%
18%
73%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
POG
2 - 2
SHK
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 2
POG
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEL
2 - 0
POG
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oriku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 0
MAL
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 0
ORI
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
KEL
0 - 2
ORI
10%
19%
71%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ORI
4 - 0
TUR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 0
ORI
63%
22%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |