Pogradeci vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
VLO
1 - 2
POG
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
POG
2 - 0
TER
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BES
0 - 0
POG
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
POG
3 - 1
BIL
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
LUS
4 - 1
POG
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
APO
1 - 0
LUS
55%
25%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ADA
2 - 3
APO
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
APO
2 - 1
MAM
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
APO
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
APO
0 - 0
ADA
71%
17%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |