Pogon Siedlce vs Swit Nowy Dwor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogon Siedlce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
WIG
1 - 1
POG
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
STA
3 - 0
POG
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
POG
2 - 1
MOT
50%
24%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
PUS
2 - 1
POG
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
POG
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
0 - 0
STA
41%
28%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MOT
3 - 2
SWI
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 2
PUS
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
SWI
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 0
STA
25%
25%
49%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |