Poland Fourth Division Group 2 Round 27

Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Świt Skolwin analysis

Nowe Skalmierzyce Świt Skolwin
46 ELO 46
-8.2% Tilt 6%
4750º General ELO ranking 1948º
102º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
35.8%
Nowe Skalmierzyce
25.6%
Draw
38.6%
Świt Skolwin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
Nowe Skalmierzyce
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.6%
Win probability
Świt Skolwin
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nowe Skalmierzyce
-20%
+5%
Świt Skolwin

Points and table prediction

Nowe Skalmierzyce
Their league position
Świt Skolwin
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
16º
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Olimpia Grudziadz
76
76
100%
Pogoń Szczecin II
69
69
100%
Polonia Środa
64
64
100%
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
62
62
100%
Gedania Gdansk
61
61
100%
Starogard Gdański
59
59
100%
Świt Skolwin
55
55
100%
Nowe Skalmierzyce
54
54
100%
Sokół Kleczew
47
47
100%
Unia Swarzędz
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Cartusia Kartuzy
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Błękitni Stargard
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Stolem Gniewino
13º
36
36
13º
100%
Vineta Wolin
14º
35
35
14º
100%
Unia Solec Kujawski
16º
32
35
15º
83.5%
Jarota Jarocin
15º
33
33
16º
83.5%
Bałtyk Gdynia
17º
28
28
17º
100%
Unia Janikowo
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nowe Skalmierzyce
Świt Skolwin
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Nowe Skalmierzyce
Świt Skolwin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nowe Skalmierzyce
Nowe Skalmierzyce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2023
STO
Stolem Gniewino
2 - 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
NOW
25%
23%
52%
45 35 10 0
22 Apr. 2023
NOW
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 - 1
Gedania Gdansk
GGD
36%
25%
39%
46 48 2 -1
19 Apr. 2023
NOW
Nowe Skalmierzyce
1 - 1
Pogoń Szczecin II
PSZ
30%
26%
45%
45 52 7 +1
15 Apr. 2023
OLI
Olimpia Grudziadz
1 - 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
NOW
68%
19%
13%
45 57 12 0
08 Apr. 2023
NOW
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 - 1
Polonia Środa
PSR
32%
24%
45%
45 48 3 0

Matches

Świt Skolwin
Świt Skolwin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2023
SKO
Świt Skolwin
5 - 0
Jarota Jarocin
JAR
73%
18%
10%
47 33 14 0
22 Apr. 2023
VIN
Vineta Wolin
1 - 1
Świt Skolwin
SKO
22%
24%
54%
47 34 13 0
15 Apr. 2023
SKO
Świt Skolwin
0 - 1
Sokół Kleczew
SOK
48%
25%
27%
48 45 3 -1
08 Apr. 2023
USK
Unia Solec Kujawski
0 - 3
Świt Skolwin
SKO
11%
17%
72%
47 25 22 +1
01 Apr. 2023
STA
Błękitni Stargard
0 - 2
Świt Skolwin
SKO
26%
25%
49%
46 39 7 +1