Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki vs Swit Nowy Dwor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 5
PGM
22%
22%
56%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
PGM
15 - 0
CON
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
PGM
10%
18%
73%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PGM
3 - 1
PEL
68%
20%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LWA
4 - 3
PGM
33%
25%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
USK
4 - 3
SWI
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
PBI
0 - 5
SWI
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SWI
3 - 1
LTM
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SWI
3 - 0
MLA
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
SWI
19%
24%
58%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |