Podravina vs Varteks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
10º
9º
51
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
24.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Podravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAP
2 - 1
POD
45%
22%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POD
0 - 2
VIR
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
POD
0 - 1
NKK
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NKP
5 - 2
POD
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POD
0 - 1
POD
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varteks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
0 - 3
NKP
9%
16%
75%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POD
1 - 3
NKV
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 1
NDD
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
NKS
0 - 5
NKV
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 0
RMS
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |